GSV @ ATL

The Read

The Valkyries visit Atlanta to face the Dream in a matchup of two below-average-pace teams with contrasting defensive profiles. GSV brings the league's elite defense (DRTG 98.51, 1st in points allowed at 77.85 PPG, 1st in assists allowed at 18.55 APG), while ATL counters with a top-3 defensive rating (101.07 DRTG) and the league's best rebounding defense (30.3 RPG allowed). Both offenses operate at glacial tempos—GSV at 79.03 possessions per game, ATL at 82.81—combining to an expected ~78 possessions, dramatically slower than league normal (~100–102). This pace compression is the dominant storyline: the matchup agent projects a total of 158 with a strong UNDER lean driven entirely by tempo control. ATL's forward defense is a known weakness (allows 26.8 PPG to forwards, 2nd-worst), but GSV's overall elite unit limits the damage. The game flow projects as competitive and low-scoring, a grind that will suppress star scoring volume and extend minutes for both teams' primary contributors. Key absences—Brionna Jones (ATL C, right knee) and Ashten Prechtel (GSV F)—create minor rotation uncertainty but insufficient data prevents quantifying redistribution impact. Expect a defensive struggle defined by ball control, limited transition, and sub-160 scoring.

The Call

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Head to Head

ATL vs GSV · last 6 meetings · GSV leads

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